Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?

Polymarket traders put "280M" at 93.4% on "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?". Up 10.0%p from yesterday. $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 7.

Most likely right now
280M
10.093%
EconomyVol $2.0KTotal volume $6.9KLiquidity $4.5Kin 1 months (Oct 7)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
280M
93.4%
10.0
270M
33.5%
10.5
260M
9.50%
3.0
250M
3.10%
1.4
200M
1.40%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.