Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "↑165" at 43.5% on "Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?". There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
↑165
44%
EconomyVol -Total volume $49KLiquidity $6.3KComments 3in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑165
43.5%
↑170
25.5%
↓150
23.0%
1.0
↓140
17.5%
1.5
↑175
15.5%
3.0
↑190
13.0%
↑200
10.9%
7.0
↑180
7.50%
↓110
5.85%
↓130
5.50%
0.5
↓120
2.55%
1.1

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.