#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Polymarket traders put "Muse from Meta" at 86.5% on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?". $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 16.

Most likely right now
Muse from Meta
–87%
TechVol $2.4KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $5.9Kin 4 days (Oct 16)
Current probability

Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Muse from Meta
86.5%
–
ChatGPT
13.5%
–
Be My Eyes
0.90%
–
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace
0.85%
–
Trump Accounts: Official App
0.55%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.