#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?

Polymarket traders put "Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace" at 51.0% on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?". Up 37.0%p from yesterday. $938 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace
▲37.051%
TechVol $938Total volume $938Liquidity $1.7Kin 5 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace
51.0%
▲37.0
ChatGPT
26.6%
▲16.0
Muse from Meta
14.6%
▲0.6
McDonald's
10.4%
▼2.5
KICK - Live Streaming
10.0%
▼4.0
TikTok Pro - Events
9.00%
▼3.1
Claude by Anthropic
8.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.