Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 55.5% on "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?". $7.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–56%
TechVol $7.5KTotal volume $1.3MLiquidity $49KComments 22in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
55.5%
–
June 30, 2027
44.5%
▲2.0
February 28, 2027
23.5%
–
January 31, 2027
15.0%
▼4.5
December 31, 2026
14.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
June 30, 2027
February 28, 2027
January 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.