Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
6.044%
TechVol $3.2KTotal volume $1.1MLiquidity $66KComments 22in 1.4 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
43.5%
6.0
June 30, 2027
32.0%
1.0
February 28, 2027
22.5%
January 31, 2027
21.5%
December 31, 2026
18.5%
September 30, 2026
5.65%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.