#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?

Polymarket traders put "Google" at 53.0% on "#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 21?". $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 29.

Most likely right now
Google
–53%
TechVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.1KLiquidity $2.0Kin 5 days (Sep 29)
Current probability

Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Google
53.0%
–
Anthropic
33.1%
–
OpenAI
28.5%
–
Nvidia
27.7%
–
xAI
24.0%
–
DeepSeek
13.0%
–
Qwen
13.0%
–
Z.ai
7.50%
–
Meta
3.20%
–
Tencent
3.15%
–
MiniMax
3.15%
–
Xiaomi
3.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.