Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Most likely right now
↑3k
–99%
TechVol $172Total volume $7.9MLiquidity $21Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑3k
99.2%
–
↑3.5k
95.0%
▲0.5
↑4k
85.0%
–
↑4.5k
65.5%
▲0.5
↑5k
49.5%
▲2.0
↑7.5k
13.5%
▲1.0
↑10k
7.10%
–
↑12.5k
6.50%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
