Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "↑4k" at 98.6% on "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↑4k
–99%
TechVol $1.8KTotal volume $8.1MLiquidity $20Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑4k
98.6%
–
↑4.5k
97.8%
–
↑4.75k
93.7%
–
↑5k
90.5%
▲1.0
↑5.5k
86.5%
▼0.5
↑6k
65.5%
▼5.5
↑7k
30.0%
▲1.0
↑7.5k
17.0%
–
↑10k
8.35%
–
↑12.5k
7.40%
▲0.5
Probability over time
↑4k
↑4.5k
↑4.75k
↑5k
↑5.5k
↑6k
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
