AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 42.9% on "AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.8%p from yesterday. $895 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲1.843%
PoliticsVol $895Total volume $895Liquidity $241in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
42.9%
▲1.8
Democrat 5%+
42.9%
▲2.4
Republican 0-5%
40.6%
▼2.4
Republican 15-20%
40.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
40.4%
▼0.7
Republican 20-25%
40.3%
▼2.7
Republican 25%+
37.6%
▼5.3
Republican 5-10%
23.7%
▼19.3
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
