Next French Presidential Election
Most likely right now
Marine Le Pen
▲0.932%
PoliticsVol $626KTotal volume $121.7MLiquidity $16.1MComments 693in 8 months (Apr 30)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Marine Le Pen
32.4%
▲0.9
Édouard Philippe
24.5%
–
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14.5%
▲1.0
Gabriel Attal
4.05%
▼0.6
François Hollande
3.15%
–
David Lisnard
2.85%
–
Jordan Bardella
2.65%
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
1.95%
▼0.5
Bruno Retailleau
1.75%
–
Dominique de Villepin
1.75%
–
Sarah Knafo
1.55%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
1.35%
–
Éric Zemmour
0.75%
–
Michel Barnier
0.25%
–
Bernard Cazeneuve
0.25%
–
Xavier Bertrand
0.15%
–
Laurent Wauquiez
0.15%
–
François Ruffin
0.15%
–
Marine Tondelier
0.15%
–
Fabien Roussel
0.15%
–
Olivier Faure
0.15%
–
Ségolène Royal
0.15%
–
François Asselineau
0.15%
–
Clémentine Autain
0.15%
–
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
0.15%
–
Valérie Pécresse
0.15%
–
François Bayrou
0.15%
–
Élisabeth Borne
0.15%
–
Yaël Braun-Pivet
0.15%
–
Jean Castex
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
