Brazil Presidential Election
Polymarket traders put "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 85.7% on "Brazil Presidential Election". Up 1.9%p from yesterday. $2.6M traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.
Most likely right now
Flávio Bolsonaro
▲1.986%
PoliticsVol $2.6MTotal volume $178.0MLiquidity $2.1MComments 22,638Closed (Oct 5)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Flávio Bolsonaro
85.7%
▲1.9
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
13.5%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Flávio Bolsonaro
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
