Polymarket Politics odds
2,511 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.
1
Brazil Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $1.4MComments 22,780Closed
Flávio Bolsonaro▲3.489%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva▼3.011%
2
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
PoliticsVol $1.4Min 21 days
October 9▲1.1100%
October 12–94%
+2 more
3
Next French Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $583KComments 878in 6 months
Marine Le Pen–41%
Édouard Philippe▲1.023%
+2 more
4
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PoliticsVol $548KComments 360in 25 days
Democrats Sweep▼1.062%
R Senate, D House▲1.530%
+2 more
5
Which party will win the House in 2026?
PoliticsVol $399KComments 4in 25 days
Democratic Party–91%
Republican Party–9.50%
6
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PoliticsVol $389Kin 3 days
320-339▲13.520%
340-359▲11.520%
+2 more
7
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?
PoliticsVol $376KCloses today
90-114▲36.152%
65-89▲36.542%
+2 more
8
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
PoliticsVol $353KComments 1in 9 months
June 30, 2027–9.50%
December 31, 2026▼0.72.55%
9
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PoliticsVol $320KComments 843in 2.1 years
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez–18%
Gavin Newsom▼2.415%
+2 more
10
Texas Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $297KComments 149in 25 days
James Talarico (D)▼1.063%
Ken Paxton (R)▲1.038%
11
Presidential Election Winner 2028
PoliticsVol $280KComments 1,045in 2.1 years
JD Vance▼0.819%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez–13%
+2 more
12
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $279Kin 6 days
200-219▲6.014%
220-239▲3.014%
+2 more
13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
PoliticsVol $261KComments 766in 3 months
March 31▲0.569%
December 31▼0.848%
+2 more
14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
PoliticsVol $247KComments 1,729in 3 months
December 31–2.95%
October 31–0.95%
15
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
PoliticsVol $214KComments 444in 2.1 years
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.–49%
J.D. Vance–48%
+2 more
16
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
PoliticsVol $201KComments 709in 3 months
Xi Jinping out before 2027?–2.95%
17
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PoliticsVol $190KComments 787in 17 days
Gadi Eizenkot–44%
Benjamin Netanyahu▼1.036%
+2 more
18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
PoliticsVol $188KComments 312in 3 months
October 15–95%
October 31▲3.085%
+2 more
19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
PoliticsVol $164Kin 21 days
October 4▲7.672%
October 10▲29.072%
+2 more
20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PoliticsVol $151KComments 1in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?▼1.016%
21
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $145KComments 2in 15 days
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%▲3.550%
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%▼0.525%
+2 more
22
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $141KComments 146in 15 days
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia▲2.062%
Student List – Students Win▼1.539%
+2 more
23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $116KComments 521in 3 months
December 31▲1.06.50%
October 31–1.50%
24
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
PoliticsVol $116KComments 172in 25 days
Democratic Party–63%
Republican Party▲1.037%
25
Michigan Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $111KComments 87in 25 days
Abdul El-Sayed (D)▼4.068%
Mike Rogers (R)▲3.033%
26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
PoliticsVol $100KComments 160in 3 months
December 31–14%
November 30▼1.07.50%
+1 more
27
Iran leadership change by...?
PoliticsVol $97KComments 1,091in 9 months
June 30, 2027–23%
December 31–12%
+2 more
28
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $95KComments 181Closed
Nithya Raman–58%
Karen Bass▼1.042%
29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
PoliticsVol $87KComments 280in 3 months
December 31▼0.515%
October 31–5.50%
30
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
PoliticsVol $83KComments 62in 1.5 years
Alberto Núñez Feijóo▲1.082%
Pedro Sánchez▼0.518%
+2 more
31
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PoliticsVol $76Kin 25 days
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?–73%
32
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
PoliticsVol $74KComments 266in 3 months
December 31–23%
October 31▼1.08.00%
33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $73KComments 73in 3 months
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?–2.20%
34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PoliticsVol $72Kin 21 days
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?▼0.61.30%
35
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $71KComments 36in 2 months
Chiang Wan-an▼5.069%
Puma Shen▲3.831%
+1 more
36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PoliticsVol $70KComments 6in 3 months
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?▼1.04.50%
37
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
PoliticsVol $63KComments 33in 21 days
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?▼1.08.50%
38
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
PoliticsVol $59Kin 3 months
December 31▲23.055%
November 30▲26.049%
+2 more
39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PoliticsVol $57Kin 2 months
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?▼2.07.50%
40
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $52KComments 2in 2.2 years
December 31, 2028▼1.026%
December 31, 2027▲3.020%
+2 more
41
Iran leader end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $39KComments 156in 3 months
Mojtaba Khamenei–88%
No Head of State–4.85%
+2 more
42
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $37KComments 2in 2.2 years
December 31, 2028▼6.022%
December 31, 2027–11%
+2 more
43
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
PoliticsVol $36Kin 21 days
Mark Carney▲2.296%
Friedrich Merz▲2.996%
+2 more
44
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
PoliticsVol $34KComments 498in 9 months
June 30, 2027–8.50%
December 31–3.25%
45
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
PoliticsVol $33KComments 39in 15 days
Aleksandar Vučić▼7.659%
Ilija Srdanović–31%
+2 more
46
Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?
PoliticsVol $31Kin 2 days
40-64▲12.546%
65-89▲3.031%
+2 more
47
Iowa Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30KComments 9in 25 days
Ashley Hinson (R)▲2.057%
Josh Turek (D)▼1.044%
48
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
PoliticsVol $28KComments 248Closed
Magdalena Andersson▲1.081%
Ulf Kristersson▲1.517%
+2 more
49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
PoliticsVol $28KComments 250in 9 months
December 31, 2027▲0.570%
November 30, 2027▲0.567%
+2 more
50
Maine Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $26KComments 79in 25 days
Troy Jackson (D)▲1.059%
Susan Collins (R)▼1.043%
51
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PoliticsVol $24KComments 603in 1.2 years
Luca Niculescu▼4.353%
Sorin Grindeanu▲0.514%
+2 more
52
Ohio Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $23KComments 21in 25 days
Sherrod Brown (D)▲1.063%
Jon Husted (R)–39%
53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
PoliticsVol $22KComments 14in 3 months
December 31▼4.036%
November 30▼1.525%
+2 more
54
Saudi airspace closed by...?
PoliticsVol $20Kin 3 months
December 31▲0.514%
October 31▼2.04.50%
55
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
PoliticsVol $20KComments 97in 3 months
December 31▲2.065%
November 30▲4.555%
+2 more
56
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $20Kin 2.2 years
December 31, 2028–23%
December 31, 2027▲1.018%
+2 more
57
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in New York?
PoliticsVol $20KComments 1Closed
1776▲8.197%
Depression▲6.093%
+2 more
58
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20KComments 7in 25 days
Darline Graham Nordone (R)▼1.085%
Annie Andrews (D)–16%
59
What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
PoliticsVol $19KCloses tomorrow
Too Late–56%
Ammunition–56%
+2 more
60
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PoliticsVol $18Kin 21 days
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?–0.75%
61
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $18KComments 483in 3 months
Nicolás Maduro–71%
Delcy Rodríguez▼1.025%
+2 more
62
Next leader out of power before 2027?
PoliticsVol $17Kin 3 months
None before 2027▼1.040%
Netanyahu - Israel PM▼0.526%
+2 more
63
SC-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $17Kin 25 days
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)–69%
Nancy Lacore (D)▲1.032%
64
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $17KComments 89in 3 months
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?▲2.07.50%
65
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?
PoliticsVol $16Kin 3 months
December 31, 2026▼2.69.85%
November 2, 2026▼3.11.20%
66
Trump out as President before 2027?
PoliticsVol $16Kin 3 months
Trump out as President before 2027?–4.25%
67
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $15Kin 2.2 years
December 31, 2028–26%
December 31, 2027▲1.019%
+2 more
68
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PoliticsVol $15KComments 95in 2.1 years
Democratic▼1.064%
Republican–35%
69
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $14Kin 2.2 years
December 31, 2028–27%
December 31, 2027–20%
+2 more
70
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PoliticsVol $14Kin 3 months
China▼3.575%
No meeting by December 31▲1.020%
+2 more
71
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PoliticsVol $14Kin 3 months
Steve Witkoff▲1.543%
Jared Kushner▲1.543%
+2 more
72
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PoliticsVol $13KComments 20in 3 months
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?–99%
73
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
PoliticsVol $13Kin 3 months
December 31, 2026–44%
November 30, 2026▼0.536%
+1 more
74
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $13KComments 5in 7 days
Pete Fry▼11.954%
Ken Sim▲7.542%
+2 more
75
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
PoliticsVol $13Kin 15 days
Lula▲19.077%
Flavio Bolsonaro▼27.514%
76
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PoliticsVol $12KComments 54in 10 months
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?▲3.032%
77
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol $12KComments 2in 9 months
December 31, 2026▼5.021%
October 31, 2026▼1.56.50%
+2 more
78
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PoliticsVol $12Kin 21 days
1000+▲12.575%
960-999▲3.18.35%
+2 more
79
NY-24 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $12Kin 25 days
Claudia Tenney (R)▲1.297%
Alissa Ellman (D)▼2.12.55%
80
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $12Kin 25 days
Maura Healey (D)–96%
Michael Minogue (R)▼0.73.75%
81
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
PoliticsVol $11Kin 3 months
December 31▼1.583%
November 30–62%
+2 more
82
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
PoliticsVol $11KComments 15in 9 days
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?–2.10%
83
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
PoliticsVol $11KComments 5in 3 months
December 31▲3.26.80%
84
PA-11 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $11Kin 25 days
Lloyd Smucker (R)–96%
Nancy Mannion (D)–3.70%
85
Next Premier of British Columbia
PoliticsVol $11KComments 4in 14 days
Lorne Doerkson▲8.068%
David Eby▼12.529%
+2 more
86
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PoliticsVol $11KComments 2in 3 months
October 31▲5.912%
October 15▼1.43.65%
+2 more
87
Iran full airspace closure by...?
PoliticsVol $11KComments 1,021in 3 months
December 31–24%
October 31▼0.57.50%
88
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $11Kin 3 months
Modi out by December 31, 2026?▼3.55.80%
89
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
PoliticsVol $11Kin 21 days
↑ 40%▲15.559%
↓ 30%▼2.049%
+2 more
90
NY-21 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $11Kin 25 days
Anthony Constantino (R)▼11.071%
Blake Gendebien (D)▲11.030%
91
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
PoliticsVol $10KComments 8in 21 days
December 31▲0.511%
October 31–2.40%
92
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PoliticsVol $10Kin 3 months
No meeting before 2027▲1.095%
US▲0.52.35%
+2 more
93
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
PoliticsVol $9.8Kin 21 days
Barack Obama▲2.196%
Kaitlan Collins▲0.996%
+2 more
94
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PoliticsVol $9.2Kin 21 days
October 31▼13.53.05%
October 15▼6.20.35%
95
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
PoliticsVol $9.1Kin 21 days
Karoline Leavitt▲49.897%
Flávio Bolsonaro–77%
+2 more
96
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
PoliticsVol $9.1KComments 456in 3 months
December 31▼4.042%
October 31▼1.019%
+1 more
97
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $8.9Kin 2.2 years
December 31, 2028▲1.021%
December 31, 2027▲1.016%
+2 more
98
Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
PoliticsVol $8.9KComments 2in 1.2 years
Senate▼5.050%
President▼18.527%
+1 more
99
OR-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $8.3Kin 25 days
Janelle Bynum (D)▼1.095%
Patti Adair (R)–3.00%
100
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $8.2Kin 3 months
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?▼1.63.80%
101
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
PoliticsVol $8.0KComments 1in 15 days
Lula▲1.571%
Flavio Bolsonaro–30%
102
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PoliticsVol $7.8KComments 10in 1.2 years
Independent/Technocrat▼10.572%
PSD▲3.214%
+2 more
103
CA-48 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7.6Kin 25 days
Marni von Wilpert (D)▲4.094%
Jim Desmond (R)▼3.05.50%
104
Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $7.4Kin 25 days
Republican 25-30%▲8.031%
Republican 30-35%▼2.519%
+2 more
105
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
PoliticsVol $7.4KComments 37in 3 months
December 31▼1.08.50%
October 31–2.15%
106
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $7.2KCloses today
Olivier Faure▼4.570%
Ségolène Royal▲15.024%
+2 more
107
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?
PoliticsVol $7.1KComments 2in 3 months
December 31▼22.041%
October 31▼24.525%
108
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PoliticsVol $7.1KComments 6in 17 days
20-24▲3.539%
25-29▼1.027%
+2 more
109
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PoliticsVol $7.1KComments 67in 3 months
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?▼5.020%
110
British Columbia General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7.1KComments 1in 14 days
Conservative▲17.570%
NDP▼16.030%
+2 more
111
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $6.7KComments 11Closed
Douglas Ruas▲1.999%
Eduardo Paes▼2.40.55%
+2 more
112
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
PoliticsVol $6.6Kin 21 days
October 10▲10.899%
October 12▲1.592%
+2 more
113
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PoliticsVol $6.5Kin 3 months
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?▼1.518%
114
AL-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $6.5Kin 25 days
Rhett Marques (R)▼3.072%
Shomari Figures (D)▲2.028%
115
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PoliticsVol $6.5Kin 15 days
Flavio Bolsonaro▲6.399%
Lula▼6.30.95%
116
Iowa Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $6.3Kin 25 days
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate▲2.545%
Dems sweep▼1.543%
+2 more
117
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
PoliticsVol $6.3Kin 21 days
October 9▲10.299%
October 12▲5.593%
+2 more
118
Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
PoliticsVol $6.2Kin 24 days
Dems sweep▼7.520%
Reps OH & ME, Dems IA▲1.018%
+2 more
119
Kansas Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $6.2KComments 10in 25 days
Roger Marshall (R)–62%
Adam Hamilton (D)▼1.038%
120
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
PoliticsVol $6.0KComments 45in 3 months
December 31▼3.018%
October 31▼2.56.00%
121
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
PoliticsVol $5.9Kin 15 days
Lula▲11.092%
Flavio Bolsonaro▼9.57.50%
122
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5.8KComments 8in 25 days
Pete Ricketts (R)–72%
Independent–28%
+1 more
123
Bulgaria Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $5.8KComments 33in 15 days
Iliana Iotova▲4.090%
Аndrey Gyurov▼2.011%
+2 more
124
FL-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5.8Kin 25 days
Mike Haridopolos (R)▲1.395%
Jennifer Jenkins (D)▼1.84.95%
125
GA-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5.6Kin 25 days
Houston Gaines (R)▼1.095%
Pam Delancy (D)▲1.82.40%
126
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
PoliticsVol $5.6KComments 1Closes today
Transgender–96%
Handsome–86%
+2 more
127
AR-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5.5Kin 25 days
French Hill (R)–82%
Chris Jones (D)–19%
128
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PoliticsVol $5.4KComments 33in 25 days
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?▼3.026%
129
Houthis enter Aden by...?
PoliticsVol $5.2KComments 1in 3 months
December 31–25%
November 30–14%
+2 more
130
Alaska Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5.0KComments 15in 25 days
Mary Peltola–74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan–27%
+2 more
131
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5.0KComments 67in 1 years
Javier Milei–56%
Axel Kicillof▲1.033%
+2 more
132
TX-15 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $4.8KComments 1in 25 days
Bobby Pulido (D)▼2.080%
Monica De La Cruz (R)▲2.020%
133
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol $4.8Kin 3 months
December 31▼7.532%
October 31▼8.323%
134
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
PoliticsVol $4.7KCloses tomorrow
20-24▼3.026%
30-34▼3.521%
+2 more
135
Spain General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $4.7KComments 11in 2 months
PP▲2.082%
PSOE▼1.019%
136
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
PoliticsVol $4.7KComments 61in 3 months
June 30, 2027▼9.558%
March 31, 2027▼7.542%
+2 more
137
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
PoliticsVol $4.7KComments 12Closed
Raphael Glucksmann▼5.082%
Olivier Faure▼1.012%
+2 more
138
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
PoliticsVol $4.6Kin 1.2 years
UAE▼11.537%
USA▲12.122%
+2 more
139
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
PoliticsVol $4.6KComments 144in 3 months
December 31, 2026▼2.023%
140
MT-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $4.6Kin 25 days
Troy Downing (R)▲1.697%
Brian Miller (D)▼2.12.40%
141
US strike on Colombia by...?
PoliticsVol $4.5KComments 51in 3 months
December 31▲0.526%
142
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
PoliticsVol $4.4KComments 78in 3 months
December 31▲1.011%
143
KS-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $4.3Kin 25 days
Tracey Mann (R)–95%
Lauren Reinhold (D)–4.50%
144
Closest Governor's Race?
PoliticsVol $4.3Kin 25 days
Oregon▲0.917%
Vermont▲9.717%
+2 more
145
Maduro Prison Time?
PoliticsVol $4.3KComments 29in 1.2 years
No prison time▼1.055%
60+▼0.528%
+2 more
146
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
PoliticsVol $4.1KComments 3in 21 days
October 9▲3.7100%
October 31▼3.583%
147
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PoliticsVol $4.1KComments 4in 6 months
Marine Le Pen–91%
Édouard Philippe▲0.547%
+2 more
148
Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
PoliticsVol $4.1Kin 2 months
November 30▼1.58.00%
October 31▼2.12.40%
149
Who will be arrested before 2027?
PoliticsVol $4.0KComments 13in 3 months
John Brennan▲0.521%
Mahmoud Khalil▲2.020%
+2 more
150
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PoliticsVol $4.0Kin 9 months
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?–14%
151
Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours by...?
PoliticsVol $4.0Kin 21 days
October 31▼2.519%
October 15▼2.59.00%
152
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
PoliticsVol $4.0KComments 7in 3 months
December 31▼2.079%
October 31▲6.033%
153
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.9Kin 16 days
Mark Sutcliffe▲4.593%
Alex Lawson–4.55%
+2 more
154
Maine Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.9Kin 25 days
Hannah Pingree (D)▲0.796%
Robert Charles (R)▼0.83.90%
155
Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner
PoliticsVol $3.8Kin 1 years
Javier Milei▲5.049%
Axel Kicillof▼12.023%
+2 more
156
Greenland snap election called by December 31?
PoliticsVol $3.8Kin 3 months
Greenland snap election called by December 31?–5.25%
157
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
PoliticsVol $3.8Kin 21 days
October 11▲23.397%
October 13▲5.296%
+2 more
158
Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
PoliticsVol $3.8Kin 9 months
June 30, 2027▼2.553%
December 31, 2026▲2.517%
159
IN-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.8Kin 25 days
Jim Baird (R)–95%
Drew Cox (D)–4.50%
160
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
PoliticsVol $3.7KComments 413in 3 months
December 31▼1.019%
October 31–5.50%
161
Ohio Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.7KComments 37in 25 days
Amy Acton (D)▲1.070%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)▼2.031%
162
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
PoliticsVol $3.6KComments 1in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28▼4.035%
Yoram Cohen▲1.016%
+2 more
163
IN-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.6Kin 25 days
Marlin Stutzman (R)–95%
Kelly Thompson (D)–4.50%
164
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $3.6KComments 31in 3 months
China x Japan military clash before 2027?▼0.73.85%
165
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PoliticsVol $3.6KComments 275in 3 months
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?▼0.93.15%
166
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
PoliticsVol $3.6Kin 3 months
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026▲0.583%
167
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $3.6KComments 42in 2 months
Kuomintang (KMT)▼0.588%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)–13%
+1 more
168
California Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.6KComments 88in 25 days
Xavier Becerra–96%
Steve Hilton–3.80%
+2 more
169
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.5KComments 411Closed
Rafael López Aliaga▼0.891%
Francis James Allison Oyague▲0.52.95%
+2 more
170
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
PoliticsVol $3.5KComments 156in 21 days
December 31▲3.540%
November 30▲3.037%
+1 more
171
Next Mayor of Liberec
PoliticsVol $3.4KClosed
Tomáš Rec▼11.055%
Lukáš Hájek▲13.033%
+2 more
172
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
PoliticsVol $3.4KComments 1in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28▲3.038%
Avigdor Lieberman▼0.517%
+2 more
173
Tim Walz in jail by...?
PoliticsVol $3.3KComments 2in 3 months
December 31, 2026▼2.00.75%
174
Arizona Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.3KComments 1in 25 days
Katie Hobbs (D)▼2.089%
Andy Biggs (R)▲3.013%
175
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
PoliticsVol $3.2Kin 3 months
December 31▼1.538%
October 31▲2.513%
176
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?
PoliticsVol $3.2Kin 14 days
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?▲1.286%
177
Next Mayor of Prague
PoliticsVol $3.2KClosed
Tomáš Portlík▼1.046%
Petr Hlaváček▲9.046%
+2 more
178
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
PoliticsVol $3.1KComments 138in 3 months
December 31▲1.510%
October 31–2.35%
179
John Fetterman out by...?
PoliticsVol $3.1KComments 1in 3 months
December 31–3.00%
180
British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $3.0Kin 14 days
NDP▲17.563%
Conservative▼14.528%
+2 more
181
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
PoliticsVol $3.0KClosed
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime▲17.099%
182
New York Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.0KComments 2in 25 days
Kathy Hochul (D)–96%
Bruce Blakeman (R)▼0.54.00%
183
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
PoliticsVol $3.0Kin 3 months
December 31▲4.516%
184
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
PoliticsVol $3.0KComments 2in 17 days
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?–92%
185
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
PoliticsVol $3.0KComments 2in 27 days
Republicans▲2.082%
Democrats▼4.514%
186
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
PoliticsVol $3.0KComments 3in 2 months
November 30▼1.067%
October 31▲4.047%
+1 more
187
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $2.9KClosed
October 31▼1.60.90%
188
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.9Kin 6 days
80-99▲11.621%
100-119▲2.020%
+2 more
189
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 3 months
December 31, 2027▼12.546%
June 30, 2027▼0.525%
+2 more
190
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 4 months
Abba Kabir Yusuf▼4.039%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo▲13.025%
+2 more
191
Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 25 days
Republican 10-15%▲14.832%
Republican 5-10%▼9.517%
+2 more
192
MI-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 25 days
Hillary Scholten (D)▼0.795%
Terri DeBoer (R)–3.95%
193
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 15 days
Allyson 6-10%▲11.027%
Allyson 3-6%▼3.025%
+2 more
194
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 1.2 years
No meeting by December 31, 2027–84%
Turkey–3.05%
+2 more
195
New pandemic in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.7Kin 3 months
New pandemic in 2026?▼1.04.50%
196
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.7Kin 3 days
100-119▼2.532%
80-99▲5.524%
+2 more
197
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
PoliticsVol $2.7KComments 14in 3 months
December 31▲3.073%
October 31–1.55%
198
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
PoliticsVol $2.7KComments 24in 6 months
March 31, 2027–25%
December 31, 2026▼2.06.50%
199
OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 25 days
Republican 10-15%▼3.028%
Republican 15-20%▼5.523%
+2 more
200
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.6KComments 12in 3 months
Dilution of Iran's Uranium▼1.517%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)▲1.014%
+2 more