Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
Polymarket traders put "$170 billion" at 99.3% on "Amazon 2026 capex above ___?". $315 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on May 1.
Most likely right now
$170 billion
–99%
EconomyVol $315Total volume $25KLiquidity $4.7KComments 1in 7 months (May 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
$170 billion
99.3%
–
$190 billion
95.5%
–
$180 billion
94.8%
–
$200 billion
91.5%
–
$210 billion
79.5%
▼0.5
$220 billion
72.0%
▲6.0
Probability over time
$170 billion
$190 billion
$180 billion
$200 billion
$210 billion
$220 billion
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
