Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 4.0% on "Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?". Up 2.7%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
September 30
▲2.74%
EconomyVol $6Total volume $108KLiquidity $11Kin 21 days (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
3.95%
▲2.7
August 31
1.10%
–

Probability over time

September 30
August 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.