Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 50.5% on "Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $403 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.551%
EconomyVol $403Total volume $403Liquidity $52Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
50.5%
▲0.5
November 30
40.5%
▲14.5
October 31
13.5%
▼12.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.