Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2029" at 23.5% on "Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?". $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2029
–24%
EconomyVol $2.3KTotal volume $2.9MLiquidity $456KComments 14in 3.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2029
23.5%
–
December 31, 2028
16.5%
–
December 31, 2027
7.50%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2029
December 31, 2028
December 31, 2027
02550751009/189/2610/410/1210/2010/2811/3
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.