Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2029" at 20.5% on "Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?". Down 28.0%p from yesterday. $32K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2029
28.021%
EconomyVol $32KTotal volume $32KLiquidity $721KComments 1in 3.3 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2029
20.5%
28.0
December 31, 2028
15.5%
33.0
December 31, 2027
6.50%
16.5

Probability over time

December 31, 2029
December 31, 2028
December 31, 2027
02550751009/189/19
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-09-19 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.