Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

Polymarket traders put "Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?" at 73.5%. Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $17 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
1.574%
PoliticsVol $17Total volume $114Liquidity $681in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
73.5%
1.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.