US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Polymarket traders put "September 20" at 93.5% on "US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?". $20K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
September 20
–94%
PoliticsVol $20KTotal volume $20KLiquidity $46Kin 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 20
93.5%
–
September 25
87.5%
–
September 30
74.5%
–
October 31
53.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
