Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?
Most likely right now
30-34
–39%
PoliticsVol $415Total volume $27KLiquidity $61Kin 7 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
30-34
38.5%
–
25-29
32.0%
▼0.5
<25
23.1%
▲0.8
35-39
6.50%
–
40+
3.00%
▲0.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
