US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 75.8% on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?". Up 2.9%p from yesterday. $1.1M traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲2.976%
PoliticsVol $1.1MTotal volume $20.4MLiquidity $651KComments 431in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
75.8%
▲2.9
October 31
60.0%
▲7.5
September 30
40.5%
▲5.0
September 21
27.0%
▲3.5
September 14
22.5%
▲6.0
September 7
19.5%
▲8.5
August 31
6.40%
▲2.9
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
September 30
September 21
September 14
September 7
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
