US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Polymarket traders put "March 31" at 65.0% on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $396K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
March 31
▼4.065%
PoliticsVol $396KTotal volume $38.8MLiquidity $902KComments 782in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
March 31
65.0%
▼4.0
December 31
42.1%
▼5.8
November 30
25.5%
▼7.0
October 31
12.5%
▼5.0
October 15
4.50%
▼3.0
Probability over time
March 31
December 31
November 30
October 31
October 15
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
