Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket traders put "J.D. Vance" at 48.5% on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". $227K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 43 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
J.D. Vance
–49%
PoliticsVol $227KTotal volume $710.4MLiquidity $52.5MComments 444in 2.1 years (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
J.D. Vance
48.5%
–
Marco Rubio
15.2%
–
Tucker Carlson
3.15%
–
Ron DeSantis
2.75%
–
Ted Cruz
2.45%
–
Donald Trump
1.95%
–
Donald Trump Jr.
1.65%
–
Ivanka Trump
0.90%
–
Thomas Massie
0.75%
–
Tulsi Gabbard
0.45%
–
Tom Cotton
0.45%
–
Glenn Youngkin
0.35%
–
Brian Kemp
0.35%
–
Josh Hawley
0.35%
–
Marjorie Taylor Greene
0.35%
–
Pete Hegseth
0.35%
–
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.25%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.25%
–
Katie Britt
0.25%
–
Rand Paul
0.25%
–
Candace Owens
0.25%
–
Nikki Haley
0.15%
–
Greg Abbott
0.15%
–
Byron Donalds
0.15%
–
Elise Stefanik
0.15%
–
Elon Musk
0.15%
–
Kristi Noem
0.15%
–
Mike Pence
0.15%
–
Steve Bannon
0.15%
–
Kim Kardashian
0.15%
–
Probability over time
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Tucker Carlson
Ron DeSantis
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
