Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Most likely right now
J.D. Vance
–47%
PoliticsVol $581KTotal volume $691.2MLiquidity $57.6MComments 433in 2.2 years (Nov 7)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
J.D. Vance
47.3%
–
Marco Rubio
19.9%
▼0.5
Tucker Carlson
2.75%
–
Donald Trump
2.25%
–
Ron DeSantis
1.95%
–
Donald Trump Jr.
1.75%
–
Glenn Youngkin
0.95%
–
Ted Cruz
0.95%
–
Elon Musk
0.75%
–
Ivanka Trump
0.75%
–
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.70%
–
Thomas Massie
0.65%
–
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
0.55%
–
Greg Abbott
0.55%
–
Byron Donalds
0.50%
–
Tulsi Gabbard
0.45%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.45%
–
Elise Stefanik
0.45%
–
Brian Kemp
0.35%
–
Josh Hawley
0.35%
–
Rand Paul
0.35%
–
Steve Bannon
0.35%
–
Kim Kardashian
0.35%
–
Marjorie Taylor Greene
0.35%
–
Eric Trump
0.30%
–
Nikki Haley
0.25%
–
Katie Britt
0.25%
–
Kristi Noem
0.25%
–
Mike Pence
0.25%
–
Tom Brady
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
