Bank of Brazil decision in November?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps decrease" at 89.5% on "Bank of Brazil decision in November?". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
25 bps decrease
▲3.590%
EconomyVol $2.8KTotal volume $47KLiquidity $16Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps decrease
89.5%
▲3.5
50+ bps decrease
7.00%
▼1.9
No Change
4.50%
–
25 bps increase
0.75%
–
50+ bps increase
0.25%
–

Probability over time

25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
No Change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.