Bank of England decision in November?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 90.0% on "Bank of England decision in November?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 5.

Most likely right now
25 bps increase
▼1.590%
EconomyVol $1.2KTotal volume $295KLiquidity $85Kin 27 days (Nov 5)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps increase
90.0%
▼1.5
No change
10.0%
▲3.0
50+ bps increase
0.25%
–
50+ bps decrease
0.05%
–
25 bps decrease
0.05%
–

Probability over time

25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.