Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Polymarket traders put "No change" at 79.5% on "Bank of Japan Decision in October?". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $284 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 30.

Most likely right now
No change
3.080%
EconomyVol $284Total volume $47KLiquidity $20Kin 2 months (Oct 30)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
79.5%
3.0
25 bps increase
20.0%
0.5
50+ bps increase
2.20%
0.5
50+ bps decrease
0.05%
25 bps decrease
0.05%

Probability over time

No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.