Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Most likely right now
Grüne
46%
PoliticsVol $207Total volume $3.5KLiquidity $48Kin 27 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Grüne
45.5%
AfD
15.0%
3.0
CDU
11.5%
12.5
Linke
9.50%
6.5
SPD
7.50%
0.5
FDP
4.50%
BSW
4.35%
FW
2.85%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.