Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?

Polymarket traders put "72,000" at 98.0% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?". $5.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
72,000
–98%
CryptoVol $5.5KTotal volume $5.4KLiquidity $138Kin 7 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
72,000
98.0%
–
74,000
97.3%
–
76,000
94.0%
–
78,000
86.0%
–
80,000
70.0%
–
82,000
45.0%
–
84,000
24.5%
–
86,000
10.5%
–
88,000
4.70%
–
90,000
2.35%
–
92,000
1.60%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.