Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744?

Polymarket traders put "Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744?" at 5.5%. Down 32.0%p from yesterday. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
Up >7%
▼32.06%
CryptoVol $10Total volume $10Liquidity $184in 12 days (Nov 16)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Up >7%
5.50%
▼32.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.