Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Most likely right now
Lula
0.589%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $123Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
88.5%
0.5
Flavio Bolsonaro
10.5%
1.0
Renan Santos
0.80%
Zema
0.35%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.30%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.30%
Clariana Barao
0.20%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.20%
Edmilson Costa
0.15%
Hertz Dias
0.15%
Pablo Marçal
0.15%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.15%
Samara
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.