Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
0.582%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $24KLiquidity $126Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
81.5%
0.5
Lula
11.0%
2.5
Clariana Barao
0.05%
Edmilson Costa
0.05%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.05%
Hertz Dias
0.05%
Pablo Marçal
0.05%
Renan Santos
0.05%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.05%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.05%
Samara
0.05%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.05%
Zema
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.