Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
90%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $7.4KLiquidity $123Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
89.5%
Lula
3.45%
1.5
Ronaldo Caiado
2.10%
1.0
Clariana Barao
1.80%
Zema
1.70%
Samara
1.65%
Hertz Dias
0.60%
Renan Santos
0.60%
Edmilson Costa
0.50%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.25%
Pablo Marçal
0.15%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.15%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.