Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará

Most likely right now
Lula
1.595%
PoliticsVol $584Total volume $13KLiquidity $147Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
94.5%
1.5
Flavio Bolsonaro
4.30%
0.7
Ronaldo Caiado
1.35%
0.9
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.65%
Zema
0.50%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.40%
Hertz Dias
0.30%
Clariana Barao
0.25%
Edmilson Costa
0.25%
Pablo Marçal
0.25%
Samara
0.25%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.15%
Renan Santos
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.