Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
0.562%
PoliticsVol $333Total volume $7.8KLiquidity $98Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
61.5%
0.5
Lula
34.0%
0.5
Edmilson Costa
2.85%
1.9
Samara
1.60%
0.7
Ronaldo Caiado
1.10%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.70%
Zema
0.65%
Clariana Barao
0.60%
Renan Santos
0.55%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.30%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.30%
Pablo Marçal
0.25%
Hertz Dias
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.