Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
0.588%
PoliticsVol $494Total volume $8.9KLiquidity $124Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
88.0%
0.5
Lula
11.6%
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.40%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.15%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.10%
Clariana Barao
0.05%
Edmilson Costa
0.05%
Hertz Dias
0.05%
Pablo Marçal
0.05%
Renan Santos
0.05%
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.05%
Samara
0.05%
Zema
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.