Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Most likely right now
Renan Santos
1.054%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $578KLiquidity $654KComments 57in 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Renan Santos
54.0%
1.0
Ronaldo Caiado
39.5%
1.5
Romeu Zema
2.95%
1.0
Flávio Bolsonaro
1.50%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
0.95%
Pablo Marçal
0.75%
Augusto Cury
0.70%
Fernando Haddad
0.15%
Tarcisio de Freitas
0.05%
Jair Bolsonaro
0.05%
Michelle Bolsonaro
0.05%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0.05%
Ratinho Júnior
0.05%
Camilo Santana
0.05%
Geraldo Alckmin
0.05%
Aldo Rebelo
0.05%
Eduardo Leite
0.05%
Tereza Cristina
0.05%
Helder Barbalho
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.