CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 18%+" at 42.6% on "CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.6%p from yesterday. $320 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 18%+
▲0.643%
PoliticsVol $320Total volume $320Liquidity $218in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 18%+
42.6%
▲0.6
Democrat 15-18%
42.1%
▼0.9
Democrat 12-15%
42.1%
▼1.4
Democrat 3-6%
42.1%
▼2.4
Democrat 0-3%
42.1%
–
Republican 6%+
42.0%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
41.5%
▼0.9
Democrat 6-9%
39.3%
▼3.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
