Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

Most likely right now
Mike Derry
10.083%
PoliticsVol $576Total volume $11KLiquidity $26Kin 21 days (Sep 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mike Derry
82.5%
10.0
Kyle Campbell
14.0%
9.5
John Roggeveen
0.45%
Kyle Joseph
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.