Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "↑ 1540" at 40.9% on "Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?". Up 2.9%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↑ 1540
▲2.941%
TechVol -Total volume $223KLiquidity $3.8Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑ 1540
40.9%
▲2.9
↑ 1550
23.0%
▲0.5
↑ 1700
3.65%
–
↑ 1600
3.60%
–
↑ 1650
2.95%
–
Probability over time
↑ 1540
↑ 1550
↑ 1700
↑ 1600
↑ 1650
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
