GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?

Polymarket traders put "November 23" at 38.9% on "GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?". $6.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 29 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 23
–39%
TechVol $6.8KTotal volume $6.8KLiquidity $15Kin 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 23
38.9%
–
November 18
33.0%
–
November 25
32.6%
–
November 6
21.0%
–
November 4
16.0%
–
November 5
16.0%
–
November 13
15.5%
–
November 21
15.3%
–
No release by November 30
12.0%
–
November 10
5.55%
–
November 15
4.55%
–
November 19
4.40%
–
November 29
4.15%
–
November 12
4.05%
–
November 26
4.05%
–
November 8
4.00%
–
On or prior to November 3
3.85%
–
November 9
3.80%
–
November 28
3.65%
–
November 17
3.50%
–
November 22
3.20%
–
November 11
3.00%
–
November 30
3.00%
–
November 14
2.55%
–
November 27
2.55%
–
November 7
2.00%
–
November 24
0.60%
–
November 16
0.55%
–
November 20
0.55%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.