ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 64.0% on "ChatGPT Full Outage by...?". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
▲6.064%
TechVol $1.1KTotal volume $24KLiquidity $1.4KClosed (Oct 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
64.0%
▲6.0
October 31
31.5%
▲1.5
September 30
0.00%
▼4.0

Probability over time

November 30
October 31
September 30
02550751009/19/89/159/229/2910/610/9
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.