China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
Polymarket traders put "4.3-4.6%" at 42.0% on "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $298 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 20.
Most likely right now
4.3-4.6%
▼3.042%
EconomyVol $298Total volume $29KLiquidity $16Kin 2 months (Oct 20)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.3-4.6%
42.0%
▼3.0
4.6-4.9%
37.0%
▲1.0
4.0-4.3%
21.3%
▲1.7
4.9-5.2%
3.70%
–
5.5%+
0.55%
–
<3.4%
0.25%
–
5.2-5.5%
0.20%
–
3.4-3.7%
0.05%
–
3.7-4.0%
0.05%
–
Probability over time
4.3-4.6%
4.6-4.9%
4.0-4.3%
4.9-5.2%
5.5%+
<3.4%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
