China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
Polymarket traders put "4.3-4.6%" at 69.0% on "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $538 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 21.
Most likely right now
4.3-4.6%
▲1.069%
EconomyVol $538Total volume $65KLiquidity $8.9Kin 9 days (Oct 21)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4.3-4.6%
69.0%
▲1.0
4.6-4.9%
15.5%
–
4.0-4.3%
6.80%
▼7.1
3.7-4.0%
3.45%
–
4.9-5.2%
1.05%
–
5.5%+
0.10%
–
<3.4%
0.05%
–
3.4-3.7%
0.05%
–
5.2-5.5%
0.05%
–
Probability over time
4.3-4.6%
4.6-4.9%
4.0-4.3%
3.7-4.0%
4.9-5.2%
5.5%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
