Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?" at 25.0%. Down 7.0%p from yesterday. $237 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
7.025%
EconomyVol $237Total volume $20KLiquidity $1.4KComments 5in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
25.0%
7.0

Probability over time

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.