Claude 6 released by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 92.5% on "Claude 6 released by...?". $90 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–93%
TechVol $90Total volume $39KLiquidity $25Kin 1.2 years (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
92.5%
–
June 30, 2027
72.0%
▼0.5
March 31, 2027
39.5%
▼2.0

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027
02550751009/59/139/219/2910/710/1510/20
2026-09-05 ~ 2026-10-20 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.