Claude Fable 5.2: HLE-Diamond Debut?

Polymarket traders put "50%+" at 95.5% on "Claude Fable 5.2: HLE-Diamond Debut?". $13K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
50%+
–96%
TechVol $13KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $6.9KComments 1in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50%+
95.5%
–
55%+
95.5%
–
60%+
93.5%
–
65%+
91.5%
–
70%+
84.5%
–
75%+
32.0%
–
80%+
14.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.