Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

Polymarket traders put "$15+" at 67.0% on "Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $137 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
$15+
▲5.567%
TechVol $137Total volume $5.3KLiquidity $1.0Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
$15+
67.0%
▲5.5
$20+
62.5%
▲1.0
$50+
3.50%
–
$30+
2.25%
▼3.9

Probability over time

$15+
$20+
$50+
$30+
02550751009/2510/310/1110/1910/2711/411/11
2026-09-25 ~ 2026-11-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.