Closest Governor's Race?

Most likely right now
Ohio
1.514%
PoliticsVol $271Total volume $13KLiquidity $115Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ohio
13.7%
1.5
Georgia
12.3%
Florida
11.9%
0.9
Iowa
11.7%
Wisconsin
11.5%
Texas
10.9%
2.8
Nevada
8.50%
Minnesota
7.90%
3.3
Kansas
7.15%
Colorado
5.00%
2.9
New Hampshire
4.65%
3.6
New Mexico
4.25%
1.1
Alaska
4.20%
0.9
Michigan
3.00%
1.5
Arizona
2.70%
0.8
Vermont
2.35%
Maine
1.25%
Oregon
1.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.