Closest Senate Race?
Most likely right now
Texas
–17%
PoliticsVol $265Total volume $34KLiquidity $147Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Texas
16.5%
–
Alaska
14.5%
–
Iowa
11.7%
▼0.6
Michigan
11.1%
▲4.5
Ohio (Special)
10.5%
–
Maine
8.00%
–
Nebraska
6.50%
–
Florida (Special)
3.65%
–
Colorado
3.20%
▲2.5
New Mexico
2.95%
–
Virginia
2.80%
▲0.8
North Carolina
2.15%
–
Georgia
2.10%
–
New Hampshire
1.40%
–
Minnesota
0.70%
–
Montana
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
