Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 31, 2026" at 14.5% on "Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?". $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 31, 2026
–14%
TechVol $2.4KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $2.2Kin 28 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31, 2026
14.5%
–
October 15, 2026
10.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
