Core PCE YoY - October 2026

Polymarket traders put "3.0%" at 35.5% on "Core PCE YoY - October 2026". $150 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 25.

Most likely right now
3.0%
–36%
EconomyVol $150Total volume $150Liquidity $444in 26 days (Nov 25)
Current probability

Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
3.0%
35.5%
–
2.9%
32.0%
–
3.2%
32.0%
–
≤2.8%
31.0%
–
3.1%
28.5%
–
3.3%
28.5%
–
3.4%+
28.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.