Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Dem sweep; No recession" at 45.8% on "Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?". $446 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
Dem sweep; No recession
–46%
EconomyVol $446Total volume $446Liquidity $14Kin 1.2 years (Feb 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Dem sweep; No recession
45.8%
–
Dem sweep; Recession
21.8%
–
No Dem sweep; No recession
20.0%
–
No Dem sweep; Recession
12.4%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
