Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Polymarket traders put "Texas" at 24.5% on "Dems' best tossup Senate race?". $69 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Texas
–25%
PoliticsVol $69Total volume $11KLiquidity $83Kin 17 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Texas
24.5%
–
Michigan
22.5%
▼10.0
Maine
19.0%
–
Alaska
18.4%
▲2.4
Ohio
6.15%
▲1.0
Iowa
1.10%
–

Probability over time

Texas
Michigan
Maine
Alaska
Ohio
Iowa
02550751009/39/119/199/2710/510/1310/18
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-10-18 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.