Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Polymarket traders put "Michigan" at 51.0% on "Dems' best tossup Senate race?". $349 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Michigan
51%
PoliticsVol $349Total volume $349Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Michigan
51.0%
Alaska
24.0%
Maine
16.5%
Iowa
10.0%
Ohio
7.00%
Texas
6.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.