ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Most likely right now
No change
1.591%
EconomyVol $616Total volume $42KLiquidity $24Kin 2 months (Oct 29)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
91.0%
1.5
25 bps increase
9.00%
2.5
50+ bps increase
0.45%
50+ bps decrease
0.15%
25 bps decrease
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.