ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Polymarket traders put "No change" at 92.0% on "ECB Interest Rates: October 2026". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $7.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 30.

Most likely right now
No change
▲1.592%
EconomyVol $7.3KTotal volume $515KLiquidity $109Kin 20 days (Oct 30)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
92.0%
▲1.5
25 bps increase
7.50%
▼2.0
50+ bps decrease
0.05%
–
25 bps decrease
0.05%
–
50+ bps increase
0.05%
–

Probability over time

No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
50+ bps increase
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.